Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.011090 0.013474 0.016486 0.020669 0.026496 0.034603 0.047292
2024-10-27 0.008584 0.011405 0.015484 0.022175 0.033706 0.054795 0.103080
2024-11-03 0.007372 0.010395 0.015196 0.024113 0.042435 0.085835 0.241081
2024-11-10 0.006592 0.009733 0.015109 0.026198 0.052991 0.136353 0.688632
2024-11-17 0.005768 0.008777 0.014190 0.026214 0.059045 0.188094 1.989080
2024-11-24 0.005094 0.007932 0.013236 0.025731 0.063560 0.249061 8.066862
2024-12-01 0.004421 0.006972 0.011843 0.023710 0.061920 0.278455 32.308804
2024-12-08 0.003945 0.006300 0.010897 0.022493 0.062363 0.329316 2611.205039
2024-12-15 0.003639 0.005902 0.010441 0.022402 0.067204 0.448977 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003433 0.005665 0.010279 0.023065 0.076176 0.709391 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003219 0.005385 0.009967 0.023195 0.083171 1.083448 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002969 0.005004 0.009367 0.022254 0.083774 1.370423 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002756 0.004703 0.008971 0.022078 0.090564 2.380500 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002652 0.004616 0.009078 0.023703 0.113399 10.286291 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002574 0.004571 0.009282 0.025832 0.148207 763.380578 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002502 0.004529 0.009483 0.028130 0.197326 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002361 0.004314 0.009175 0.028148 0.221467 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002218 0.004082 0.008781 0.027616 0.237555 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002042 0.003757 0.008079 0.025389 0.217808 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001906 0.003516 0.007590 0.024051 0.212837 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001818 0.003375 0.007369 0.023951 0.233475 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001758 0.003296 0.007316 0.024679 0.279851 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001688 0.003188 0.007160 0.024822 0.316936 NaN NaN